Prediction of Casper Ruud vs Shintaro Mochizuki at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo 09-25-25
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 25 Sep at 05:00 AM UTC
Ruud is scheduled to play Mochizuki on 25 Sep Thu at 05:00 AM UTC in the Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo, First round.
HEAD TO HEAD
C. Ruud vs S. Mochizuki
Casper Ruud
NOR
l
w
l
w
w
l
l
w
l
w
0
Win
0
Played
0
Win
26
Age
22
6'0" (183 cm)
Height
-
12
C. Rank
106
2
Best Rank
104
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$13.5M
Career Money
$963.8K
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Shintaro Mochizuki
JPN
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
l
0
Win
0
Played
0
Win
26
Age
22
6'0" (183 cm)
Height
-
12
C. Rank
106
2
Best Rank
104
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$13.5M
Career Money
$963.8K
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
C. Ruud Vs S. Mochizuki Picks
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Casper Ruud has a 70.64% chance to get the victory. Login / Register to find out our expert prediction.
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To Win
| Match | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| C. Ruud | 70.64% | 1.38 |
| S. Mochizuki | 29.36% | 3.32 |
Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.
Total Games
| Market | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 22 | 46.51% | 2.15 |
| Over 20 | 46.51% | 2.15 |
Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.
Head-To-Head: Ruud 0 - 0 Mochizuki
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Ruud | 0 |
| Mochizuki | 0 |
Last H2H Matches:
No past h2h event happened.
C. Ruud Vs S. Mochizuki Best Odds
1x2
W2
3.32W1
1.38Games O/U
> 22
2.15> 20
2.15C. Ruud vs S. Mochizuki H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $13,526,340 | Career Prize Money | $963,765 |
| 64.94% (439-237) | Career Total W/L | 54.78% (212-175) |
| 16 | Titles | 2 |
| 71.43% (30-12) | YTD Win/Loss | 33.33% (2-4) |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
C. Ruud vs S. Mochizuki Match Preview
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Casper Ruud has won 47.20% of points on their second serve, while Shintaro Mochizuki has won 43.85%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Casper Ruud, in recent form, has won 45.89% of their opponent's second serve points, while Shintaro Mochizuki has won 48.99%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.02% and 29.34% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Casper Ruud has saved 53.74% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Shintaro Mochizuki has saved 49.87% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Casper Ruud has won 62.26% of matches played (W/L 33/ 20), with Shintaro Mochizuki winning 58.67% (W/L 33/ 31) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Casper Ruud has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 251/ 109), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 5/ 8). Shintaro Mochizuki has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 18/ 13), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 42% (W/L 13/ 18).
- Player level: In the last year, Casper Ruud has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/ 8), where as Shintaro Mochizuki has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 61.11% of matches (W/L 33/ 21). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Casper Ruud has played against opponents with an average rank of 64.79 while Shintaro Mochizuki has played against players with an average rank of 239.95.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Casper Ruud has won 53% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Shintaro Mochizuki has won 57% in all matches played on tour.
- Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Casper Ruud has converted 25.90% of breakpoint opportunities, and Shintaro Mochizuki has converted 37.84% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Casper Ruud vs Shintaro Mochizuki Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Ruud 53%, Mochizuki 48%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Ruud 51%, Mochizuki 53%.
Break Points Saved %: Ruud 63%, Mochizuki 57%.
C. Ruud Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Laver Cup - San Francisco - 15-09-2025 | ||||
Robin  Reilly OpelkaR. Opelka | W | 6-4 7-6(4) | ||
 U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R2  Raphael CollignonR. Collignon | L | 6-4 3-6 3-6 6-4 7-5 | ||
R1  Sebastian OfnerS. Ofner | W | 6-1 6-2 7-6(5) | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
R2  Arthur RinderknechA. Rinderknech | L | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 | ||
| National Bank Open - Toronto - 28-07-2025 | ||||
R4  Karen KhachanovK. Khachanov | L | 6-4 7-5 | ||
S. Mochizuki Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, JPN-GER 0-4 - 08-09-2025 | ||||
Rubber 2  Yannick HanfmannY. Hanfmann | L | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R2  Alex De MinaurA. De | L | 6-2 6-4 6-2 | ||
R1 Hugo GastonH. Gaston | W | 6-4 6-3 6-4 | ||
Q3  Daniel Elahi GalanD. Elahi | W | 6-4 6-4 | ||
Q2  Roman Andres BurruchagaR. Andres | W | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | ||
Where To Watch Ruud Vs Mochizuki?
When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Ruud Vs Mochizuki is now available here.
C. Ruud vs S. Mochizuki Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 60.21% (115/76) | YTD Win/Loss | 55.05% (120/98) |
| 57.29% (287/214) | Sets Win/Loss | 53.24% (271/238) |
| 52.91% (2596/2310) | Games Win/Loss | 50.24% (2419/2396) |
| 0.47 | Aces Per Game | 0.21 |
| 1123 | Aces Total | 500 |
| 0.2 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.37 |
| 470 | Total Double Faults | 874 |
| 1:56:1 | Average Match Time | 1:41:6 |
| 313.74 | Average Opponent Rank | 394.07 |
| 65% (9853/15220) | 1st Serve % | 57% (8425/14907) |
| 73% (7210/9853) | 1st Serve Win % | 66% (5588/8425) |
| 53% (2838/5367) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (3059/6482) |
| 39% (519/1319) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (756/1756) |
| 36% (5521/15212) | Return Points Win % | 43% (6595/15480) |
| 61% (91/150) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 55% (115/209) |
| 59% (23/39) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 33% (1/3) |
| 45% (42/94) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 63% (40/64) |
| 59% (35/59) | Deciding Set Win % | 55% (42/76) |
| 89% (108/96) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 86% (110/95) |
| 11% (108/12) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 14% (110/15) |
| 23% (83/19) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 22% (108/24) |
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Potential H2H Matches This Week
Ruud (Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo)
Ruud vs ShapovalovCould play in The Quarterfinals
Ruud vs AltmaierCould play in The Quarterfinals
Ruud vs VukicCould play in The Quarterfinals
Ruud vs DzumhurCould play in The Quarterfinals
Ruud vs BerrettiniCould play in The Second
Ruud vs ClarCould play in The Second
Mochizuki (Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo)
Mochizuki vs ShapovalovCould play in The Quarterfinals
Mochizuki vs AltmaierCould play in The Quarterfinals
Mochizuki vs VukicCould play in The Quarterfinals
Mochizuki vs DzumhurCould play in The Quarterfinals
Mochizuki vs BerrettiniCould play in The Second
Mochizuki vs ClarCould play in The Second
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